文件名称：principles of statistical inference
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更新时间：2012-10-05 13:37:11
statistical inference
Most statistical work is concerned directly with the provision and implementation of methods for study design and for the analysis and interpretation of data. The theory of statistics deals in principle with the general concepts underlying all aspects of suchwork and from this perspective the formal theory of statistical inference is but a part of that full theory. Indeed, from the viewpoint of individual applications, it may seem rather a small part. Concern is likely to be more concentrated on whether models have been reasonably formulated to address the most fruitful questions, on whether the data are subject to unappreciated errors or contamination and, especially, on the subject-matter interpretation of the analysis and its relation with other knowledge of the field. Yet the formal theory is important for a number of reasons. Without some systematic structure statistical methods for the analysis of data become a collection of tricks that are hard to assimilate and interrelate to one another, or for that matter to teach. The development of new methods appropriate for new problems would become entirely a matter of ad hoc ingenuity. Of course such ingenuity is not to be undervalued and indeed one role of theory is to assimilate, generalize and perhaps modify and improve the fruits of such ingenuity.