文件名称：人口成长趋势-190422-st_tech_trends_report_2020-2040
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更新时间：2024-06-23 14:43:25
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报表 18.1 人口成长趋势 Occurrence of Vaso-Constriction Model: MODEL1 Dependent Variable: POP Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 1 663364692.26 663364692.26 201.873 0.0001 Error 17 55862925.291 3286054.4289 C Total 18 719227617.55 Root MSE 1812.74776 R-square 0.9223 Dep Mean 6976.74737 Adj R-sq 0.9178 C.V. 25.98271 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| INTERCEP 1 -1958.366302 142.80454644 -13.714 0.0001 YEAR 1 1.078795 0.07592765 14.208 0.0001 Occurrence of Vaso-Constriction Durbin-Watson D 0.180 (For Number of Obs.) 19 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.704 Dep Var Predict Std Err Lower95% Upper95% Lower95% Upper95% Hat Diag Cov Obs POP Value Predict Mean Mean Predict Predict Residual Rstudent H Ratio Dffits 1 392.9 -2732.4 799.947 -4420.1 -1044.7 -6912.8 1448.0 3125.3 2.1066 0.1947 0.8592 1.0359 2 530.8 -1653.6 736.146 -3206.7 -100.5 -5781.5 2474.3 2184.4 1.3502 0.1649 1.0894 0.6000 3 723.9 -574.8 674.860 -1998.6 849.0 -4655.8 3506.2 1298.7 0.7624 0.1386 1.2203 0.3058 4 963.8 504.0 616.839 -797.4 1805.4 -3535.9 4543.9 459.8 0.2623 0.1158 1.2658 0.0949 5 1286.6 1582.8 563.095 394.8 2770.8 -2422.0 5587.6 -296.2 -0.1669 0.0965 1.2451 -0.0545 6 1706.9 2661.6 514.966 1575.1 3748.0 -1314.3 6637.4 -954.7 -0.5377 0.0807 1.1848 -0.1593 7 2319.1 3740.4 474.168 2740.0 4740.8 -212.9 7693.6 -1421.3 -0.8038 0.0684 1.1196 -0.2178 8 3144.3 4819.2 442.730 3885.1 5753.2 882.2 8756.1 -1674.9 -0.9501 0.0596 1.0757 -0.2393 9 3981.8 5898.0 422.747 5006.0 6789.9 1970.8 9825.1 -1916.2 -1.0932 0.0544 1.0336 -0.2622 10 5015.5 6976.7 415.873 6099.3 7854.2 3052.9 10900.6 -1961.2 -1.1198 0.0526 1.0247 -0.2639 11 6294.7 8055.5 422.747 7163.6 8947.5 4128.4 11982.7 -1760.8 -0.9988 0.0544 1.0578 -0.2395 12 7599.4 9134.3 442.730 8200.3 10068.4 5197.4 13071.3 -1534.9 -0.8668 0.0596 1.0952 -0.2183 13 9197.2 10213.1 474.168 9212.7 11213.5 6259.9 14166.3 -1015.9 -0.5690 0.0684 1.1642 -0.1542