the black swan

时间:2012-06-26 18:00:36
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文件名称:the black swan

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更新时间:2012-06-26 18:00:36

黑天鹅

数理,随笔,。。 Four hundred years ago, Francis Bacon warned that our minds are wired to deceive us. "Beware the fallacies into which undisciplined thinkers most easily fall--they are the real distorting prisms of human nature." Chief among them: "Assuming more order than exists in chaotic nature." Now consider the typical stock market report: "Today investors bid shares down out of concern over Iranian oil production." Sigh. We're still doing it.


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  • 这是一篇很短的文章,全名是The Roots of Unfairness: the Black Swan in Arts and Literature,并不是那本很有名的书黑天鹅,虽然是同一个作者写的。。